Release Note: NAEFS.v6.0.0

v4.0.0 released Jan 28. 2014  
v4.0.1 released May 20. 2014  
v4.0.2 released May 20. 2014  
v4.0.3 released May/Jun 2015  
v5.0.0 released Mar 29  2016  

NAEFS upgrade

- Upgrade bias corrected GEFS/NAEFS (0.5d) products (every 3hr for 0-8 days)
- Upgrade anomaly products. For surface elements, both anomaly forecast and EFI
- Upgrade downscaled GEFS/NAEFS products(CONUS and Alaska, every 3hr for 0-8 days)
- Upgrade bias correction methodology (hybrid of decaying average and reforecast)
- Add wind speed at 10m above ground in the GEFS/NAEFS bias-corrected forecast
- Upgrade GEFS bias-corrected QPF and PQPF from daily 2.5d to 6-hourly 0.5d
- Add downscaled PQF/PQPF forecasts for CONUS domain using climatology downscaling methodology 


DESCRIPTION OF CHANGE:  

The modified J-jobs and scripts/ush include:

CMC Jobs

1. jobs/JNAEFS_CMC_ENS_PREP  

   1) scripts/exnaefs_cmcens_prep.sh.ecf
   - modified for 0.5d ensemble data input with 3 hourly from 0-8day                                 
   - modified for 0.5d ensemble data output with 3 hourly from 0-8day                                 

2. jobs/JNAEFS_CMC_ENS_POST

   1) scripts/exnaefs_cmcens_post.sh.ecf
   - modified for 0.5d ensemble data input with 3 hourly from 0-8day                                 
   - modified for 0.5d ensemble data output with 3 hourly from 0-8day                                 

3. jobs/JNAEFS_CMC_ENS_BIAS  

   1) scripts/exnaefs_cmc_ens_bias.sh.ecf      
   - modified for 0.5d ensemble data input

4. jobs/JNAEFS_CMC_ENSBC_PREP  

  1) scripts/exnaefs_cmc_ensbc_prep.sh.ecf 
   - modified for 0.5d ensemble data input
   - modified for 0.5d ensemble data output with 3 hourly from 0-8day                                 

  2) ush/cmce_bc_avgspr.sh
   - modified for 0.5d ensemble data input
   - modified for 0.5d ensemble data output with 3 hourly from 0-8day                                 

  3) ush/cmce_climate_anomaly.sh
   - modified for 0.5d ensemble data input
   - modified for 0.5d ensemble data output with 3 hourly from 0-8day                                 

  4) ush/cmce_weights.sh
   - modified for 0.5d ensemble data input
   - modified for 0.5d ensemble data output with 3 hourly from 0-8day                                 

5. jobs/JNAEFS_CMC_ENS_POST_EXTEND

  - new for CMC extended forecast                 

NCEP/GEFS Jobs

1. jobs/JGEFS_BIAS

  1) scripts/exgefs_bias.sh.ecf 
   - modified to include reforecast bias correction technique
   - modified to include more forecast lead times
   - modified for 0.5d ensemble data and 3 hourly from 0-8day                                 

  2) ush/gefs_bias_decay.sh
   - modified to calculate decaying average bias 

  3) ush/gefs_bias_decay_avggen.sh
   - new, added to calculate decaying average bias for 3hrly 

  4) ush/gefs_bias_coeff.sh           
   - new, added to calculate combination coefficient between decaying and reforecast bias

  5) ush/gefs_bias_coeff_avggen.sh    
   - new, added to calculate combination coefficient for 3hrly

  6) ush/gefs_bias_reforecast.sh      
   - new, added to calculate reforecast bias 

  7) ush/gefs_bias_combine.sh         
   - new, added to combine decaying and reforecast bias

  8) sorc/gefs_bias.fd ( no change )

  9) sorc/gefs_bias_gen.fd                
   - new, added to calculate decaying average bias for 3hrly 

 10) sorc/gefs_coeff_r.fd           
   - new, added to calculate combination coefficient between decaying and reforecast bias

 11) sorc/gefs_bias_combine.fd         
   - new, added to combine decaying and reforecast bias

2. jobs/JGEFS_DEBIAS

  1) scripts/exgefs_debias.sh.ecf  
   - modified to include combined bias
   - modified to include more forecast lead times

  2) sorc/gefs_debias.fd 

  3) ush/gefs_climate_anomaly.sh 

  4) sorc/gefs_climate_anomaly.fd 

  5) ush/gefs_weights.sh 

  6) fix/cmean_1d.1979MMDD & fix/cstdv_1d.1979MMDD
   - copy from /nwprod/naefs.v4.0.4/fix                              
   - data are interpolated from 1 degree to 0.5 degree
   - data are interpolated from 6 hour interval to 3 hour interval

3. jobs/JNAEFS_GEFS_24HR_CQPF

  1) scripts/exnaefs_gefs_24hr_enscqpf.sh.ecf
   - new, generates the 24-hourly CQPF and CPQPF                     

  2) sorc/gefs_enscqpf_24hr.fd
   - new, generates the 24-hourly CQPF and CPQPF                     

4. jobs/JNAEFS_GEFS_6HR_CQPF 

  1) scripts/exnaefs_gefs_6hr_enscqpf.sh.ecf 
   - new, generates the 6-hourly CQPF and CPQPF                     

  2) sorc/gefs_enscqpf_6hr.fd 
   - new, generates the 6-hourly CQPF and CPQPF                     

  3) sorc/gefs_enspvrfy.fd    
   - new, output stats, forecast on analysis grid for archive       

  4) sorc/gefs_enssrbias.fd   
   - new, calculate historical statistics by using 30-day decaying function 

5. jobs/JNAEFS_GEFS_ANFEFI_ACPR

  1) scripts/exnaefs_gefs_anfefi_acpr.sh.ecf 
   - new, generate GEFS anomaly forecast/EFI for 24-hr accmulated precipitation

  2) sorc/gefs_climate_anfefi_acpr.fd
   - new, generate GEFS anomaly forecast/EFI for 24-hr accmulated precipitation

6. jobs/JNAEFS_GEFS_PGRB_ENSPQPF

  1) scripts/exnaefs_gefs_pgrb_enspqpf.sh.ecf
   - modified for 0.5d ensemble data input

7. jobs/JNAEFS_NDGD_CQPF               

  1) scripts/exnaefs_conus_ndgd_enscqpf.sh.ecf
   - new, Downscaling for Bias-corrected QPF

  2) sorc/conus_ndgd_enscqpf.fd
   - new, Downscaling for Bias-corrected QPF

NAEFS Jobs

1. jobs/JNAEFS_PROB_AVGSPR

  1) scripts/exnaefs_prob_avgspr.sh.ecf   
   - modified input for 0.5d ensemble data and 3 hourly from 0-8day                                 
   - modified for 0.5d ensemble data output with 3 hourly from 0-8day                                 
   - add new ush for EFI generation

  2) ush/naefs_bc_probability.sh
   - modified input for 0.5d ensemble data and 3 hourly from 0-8day                                 

  3) ush/naefs_climate_anv.sh
   - modified input for 0.5d ensemble data and 3 hourly from 0-8day                                 

  4) ush/naefs_climate_anomaly.sh
   - new, added to generate the anomaly forecast(percentage) for ensemble mean                                 
  5) ush/naefs_climate_efi.sh
   - new, added to generate EFI

  6) sorc/naefs_climate_anomaly.fd
   - new, added to generate the anomaly forecast(percentage) for ensemble mean

  7) sorc/gefs_climate_anomefi.fd
   - new, added to generate EFI

2. jobs/JNAEFS_DVRTMA_BIAS_ALASKA

  1) scripts/exnaefs_dvrtma_bias_ak.sh.ecf      
   - modified for 0.5d ensemble data input with 3 hourly from 0-8day                                 

3. jobs/JNAEFS_DVRTMA_BIAS_CONUS

  1) scripts/exnaefs_dvrtma_bias_conus.sh.ecf
   - modified for 0.5d ensemble data input with 3 hourly from 0-8day                                 

4. jobs/JNAEFS_DVRTMA_PROB_AVGSPR_AK

  1) scripts/exnaefs_dvrtma_prob_avgspr_ak.sh.ecf
   - modified for 0.5d ensemble data input with 3 hourly from 0-8day                                 
   - modified for 0.5d ensemble data output with 3 hourly from 0-8day                                 

  2) ush/dvrtma_debias_alaska.sh
   - modified for 0.5d ensemble data input 

  3) ush/dvrtma_debias_alaska_tmaxmin.sh
   - modified for 0.5d ensemble data input 

  4) ush/cmce_adjust_tmaxmin_alaska.sh
   - modified for 0.5d ensemble data input 

  5) ush/dvrtma_debias_alaska_wind10m.sh
   - modified for 0.5d ensemble data input 

  6) ush/cmce_adjust_wind10m_alaska.sh
   - modified for 0.5d ensemble data input 

5. jobs/JNAEFS_DVRTMA_PROB_AVGSPR_CONUS

  1) scripts/exnaefs_dvrtma_prob_avgspr_conus.sh.ecf
   - modified for 0.5d ensemble data input with 3 hourly from 0-8day                                 
   - modified for 0.5d ensemble data output with 3 hourly from 0-8day                                 

  2) ush/dvrtma_debias_conus.sh
   - modified for 0.5d ensemble data input 

  3) ush/dvrtma_debias_conus_tmaxmin.sh
   - modified for 0.5d ensemble data input 

  4) ush/cmce_adjust_tmaxmin_conus.sh
   - modified for 0.5d ensemble data input 

  5) ush/dvrtma_debias_conus_wind10m.sh
   - modified for 0.5d ensemble data input 

  6) ush/cmce_adjust_wind10m_conus.sh
   - modified for 0.5d ensemble data input 
 

BENEFIT OF CHANGE: 

NAEFS can be run across multiple phases

USER IMPACT STATEMENT:

No format is changed. Files names of GEFS/NAEFS for 0.5d are changed.

TECHNICAL IMPACT STATEMENT:

No impacts to data distributed via all distribution platforms are specified.